TV Fights & Boxing Predictions: April 2, 2011 By Brian Gorman, Doghouse Boxing (April 2, 2011) Doghouse Boxing - Tweet
Saturday, April 2 in Mexicali, Mexico (Integrated Sports PPV): WBO-Ring Champ Giovanni Segura (26-1-1, 22 KOs) vs. Ivan Calderon (34-1-1, 6 KOs), jr. flyweights (108 lb.)
Prediction: Segura by TKO
It's not that Calderon doesn't deserve a rematch, after his terrific career until his championship defeat in August by Segura. It's just that, at 36 and having shown signs of slowing in the past 2-3 years, with three straight technical decisions due to bad cuts, you wonder whether he can handle Segura's pace and pressure for a full 12 rounds. If he can, he'll add more luster to his resume.
If not, it's because Segura fights as if there are no judges present. In his last 11 bouts dating to 2007, only one went the distance - a decision loss to Cesar Canchila that he avenged in style, with a wild, fourth round TKO. When a pure boxer cannot find room to operate in a first bout against a tough brawler, that doesn't portend well for the rematch.
Calderon's one of the best in the world, though, in terms of skill, so the rematch might be very competitive for a considerable portion. Eventually, though, Calderon will physically wilt under the pressure; I envision his corner calling it a day between rounds.
Ricardo Castillo (36-9-1, 26 KOs) vs. Joksan Hernandez (21-3, 14 KOs), featherweights (126 lb.)
Prediction: Hernandez by decision
Fernando Beltran, Jr. (35-4-1, 19 KOs) vs. Jorge Lacierva (38-7-6, 26 KOs), featherweights (126 lb.)
Prediction: Beltran by decision
Lacierva defeated Hernandez in December, and two days earlier Beltran beat Castillo. The winner's and loser's brackets of those bouts were paired for these co-features. They involve two matches of good, similarly-skilled Mexicans competing in their homeland. And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how you sell a show, and why boxing thrives in Mexico and is an afterthought in the States.
Editor's Note: Here are Brian's Predictions from yesterday:
Friday, April 1 at Foxwoods Resort Casino, Conn. (ESPN 2):
Henry Lundy (19-1-1, 10 KOs) vs. Patrick Lopez (20-3, 12 KOs), lightweights (135 lb.)
Prediction: Lundy by decision
For Lundy, this is kind of like a rematch. Sure, he and Lopez have never met, but he got stopped while way ahead of John Molina, another rugged brawler, so he can make amends of sorts by surviving Lopez, who won't happily accept the role of second fiddle. Lopez has shown that he can take it to a cute boxer, like he did in an August dismantling of then-undefeated Cleveland prospect Prenice Brewer.
Lundy talks a big game and has beaten good but not great competition, but so what? There's nothing wrong with a fighter having extraordinary, and perhaps excessive, self-confidence, so long as he understands that can cause fans and inspire opponents to want to see you on the canvas.
Lundy's not the second coming of Floyd Mayweather, Jr., but he's a very good boxer who may wear a belt some day soon. (Although who doesn't?) Expect Lopez to run out of time in his aggressive but failed pursuit of Philadelphia's Lundy, who has probably learned from the Molina defeat that a puncher is always still in the fight until the final bell.
Vladine Biosse (10-0, 5 KOs) vs. Tim Connors (10-2, 7 KOs), super middleweights (168 lb.)
Prediction: Biosse by TKO
Connors had defeated each boxer he'd faced, avenging his only loss, until getting smoked in less than a round by Cuban standout Erislandy Lara in November. This could help to answer to some degree where Biosse stands in the big picture by comparing this result to that one.
Then again, Biosse's a super middleweight, a two-division jump for Connors, so it could only reveal that he can beat up a smaller guy. The African-born Biosse beat "Irish" Joe McCreedy last year and now faces the "Irish Pride" Connors, so on behalf of fellow Irishmen we may want to next line up Andy Lee.